Game Over for Dems: Rasmussen, Emerson Numbers on Black Voter Approval for Trump
November 24, 2019
President Donald Trump smiles during a meeting with Chilean president Sebastian Pinera, in the Oval Office of the White House, Friday, Sept. 28, 2018, in Washington. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
Rasmussen is reporting a pretty significant fact which may make Democrats completely lose their minds.
Because if this holds, it’s game over for them come the election.
Rasmussen notes that they’re looking at likely voters which may explain why they were the most accurate in 2016.
All American Adults don’t vote. A portion of Registered Voters also don’t frequent national elections. That’s why we invest the extra $$ to ask political questions to only Likely Voters. And we do this using techniques to assure privacy – just like in the voting booth.
So when Mrs. @deneenborelli – a friend & an engaged supporter of @realDonaldTrump today presents a snapshot of our privacy-focused daily likely voter results, please remember, not all survey samples & collection techniques are equal or comparable. (Remember Nov 9th 2016?)
Rasmussen also noted how this number correlates with Emerson’s latest poll which noted how support for impeachment has dropped. Emerson has approval from black registered voters for Trump at 34.5 percent.
Our Twitter Follower Roee spotted this from the Emerson College poll just out.
Even 20 percent African-American support for Trump would all but dismantle Democratic Party presidential hopes for 2020. Hillary Clinton lost the 2016 election with 88 percent of the black vote. That was about a six-point falloff from Barack Obama’s share of the black vote in 2012.
But far more importantly, an estimated 2 million of the African-American voters who cast ballots for Obama in 2012 simply did not show up at the polls in 2016 to vote for the off-putting Clinton.
Even a small drop in African-American turnout or anything less than the usual 85 percent to 90 percent supermajority for a Democratic presidential candidate on Election Day can prove fatal.
The reasons are multifaceted. Trump making an effort to reach out for black support, record low black unemployment, more jobs and a strong economy. But it’s also because of the leftward movement of the Democratic Party and people feeling that it doesn’t speak to them anymore, that Trump’s concentration on America, jobs and the economy does.